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master's thesis
Makroekonomski učinci rata u Ukrajini : primjer eurozone
Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, 2023. urn:nbn:hr:148:021642
Bakula, Helena
University of Zagreb
Faculty of Economics and Business

Institutional repository: REPEFZG

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Bakula, H. (2023). Makroekonomski učinci rata u Ukrajini : primjer eurozone (Master's thesis). Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business. Retrieved from https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:021642

Bakula, Helena. "Makroekonomski učinci rata u Ukrajini : primjer eurozone." Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, 2023. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:021642

Bakula, Helena. "Makroekonomski učinci rata u Ukrajini : primjer eurozone." Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, 2023. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:021642

Bakula, H. (2023). 'Makroekonomski učinci rata u Ukrajini : primjer eurozone', Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, accessed 23 November 2024, https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:021642

Bakula H. Makroekonomski učinci rata u Ukrajini : primjer eurozone [Master's thesis]. Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business; 2023 [cited 2024 November 23] Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:021642

H. Bakula, "Makroekonomski učinci rata u Ukrajini : primjer eurozone", Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Zagreb, 2023. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:021642

Metadata
TitleMakroekonomski učinci rata u Ukrajini : primjer eurozone
Title (english)Macroeconomic effects of the war in Ukraine : example of the eurozone
AuthorHelena Bakula
MentorOzana Nadoveza (mentor)
Committee memberOzana Nadoveza (predsjednik povjerenstva)
Committee memberTomislav Globan (član povjerenstva)
Committee memberMarija Beg (član povjerenstva)
GranterUniversity of Zagreb
Faculty of Economics and Business
Zagreb
Defense date and country2023-09-28, Croatia
Scientific / art field,
discipline and subdiscipline		SOCIAL SCIENCES
Economics
Macroeconomics
Abstract
Rad se usredotočuje na negativni šok u opskrbi plinom izazvan ratom u Ukrajini i njegove duboke ekonomske implikacije za gospodarstvo eurozone. Plin je značajan za Europu jer se koristi za proizvodnju energije, grijanje, industrijske procese i podršku obnovljivim izvorima energije. Obzirom da se Europska unija snažno oslanjala na uvoz ruskih energenata sve do eskalacije konflikta, rat i s njim povezane sankcije, mijenjaju dinamiku međunarodne trgovine i suradnje. Geopolitički sukob u Ukrajini rezultirao je učincima koji odgovaraju predviđanjima plinskog šoka Šalter Swan modela, a navedeni učinci manifestirali su se u eurozoni tijekom 2022. godine. Spomenuti plinski šok uzrokovao je značajan porast inflacije, smanjenje neto izvoza i značajno usporavanje BDP-a u eurozoni. Revizije prognoza međunarodnih institucija za inflaciju, BDP i vanjsku trgovinu potvrđuju rezultate modela i ukazuju na negativan utjecaj plinskog šoka na ekonomsku aktivnost.
Abstract (english)
The paper focuses on the negative gas supply shock caused by the war in Ukraine and its profound economic implications for the Eurozone economy. Gas is important for Europe because it is used for power generation, heating, industrial processes and support for renewable energy sources. Given that the European Union relied heavily on the import of Russian energy until the escalation of the conflict, the war and related sanctions are changing the dynamics of international trade and cooperation. The geopolitical conflict in Ukraine resulted in effects corresponding to the Salter Swan model's gas shock predictions, and these effects manifested themselves in the Eurozone during 2022. The aforementioned gas shock caused a significant increase in inflation, a decrease in net exports and a significant slowdown in GDP in the eurozone. Revisions of the forecasts of international institutions for inflation, GDP and foreign trade confirm the results of the model and indicate the negative impact of the gas shock on economic activity.
Keywords
Keywords (english)
Languagecroatian
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:148:021642
Study programmeTitle: Economics
Study programme type: university
Study level: integrated undergraduate and graduate
Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra ekonomije (magistar/magistra ekonomije)
Type of resourceText
File originBorn digital
Access conditionsOpen access
Embargo expiration date: 2024-04-05
Terms of useLicence Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0) icon
Created on2023-10-02 09:59:48