prikaz prve stranice dokumenta Utjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj
  Download
PDF 1.37 MB
master's thesis
Utjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj
Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, 2021. urn:nbn:hr:148:300223
Majhut, Juraj
University of Zagreb
Faculty of Economics and Business
Department of Macroeconomics and Economic Development

Institutional repository: REPEFZG

Cite this document

Majhut, J. (2021). Utjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj (Master's thesis). Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business. Retrieved from https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:300223

Majhut, Juraj. "Utjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj." Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, 2021. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:300223

Majhut, Juraj. "Utjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj." Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, 2021. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:300223

Majhut, J. (2021). 'Utjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj', Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, accessed 23 November 2024, https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:300223

Majhut J. Utjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj [Master's thesis]. Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business; 2021 [cited 2024 November 23] Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:300223

J. Majhut, "Utjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj", Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Zagreb, 2021. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:148:300223

Metadata
TitleUtjecaj državne potrošnje i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj
Title (english)The impact of government spending and uncertainty on the Croatian GDP trends
AuthorJuraj Majhut
MentorVladimir Arčabić (mentor)
Committee memberHrvoje Šimović (predsjednik povjerenstva)
Committee memberOzana Nadoveza (član povjerenstva)
GranterUniversity of Zagreb
Faculty of Economics and Business
(Department of Macroeconomics and Economic Development)
Zagreb
Defense date and country2021-09-24, Croatia
Scientific / art field,
discipline and subdiscipline		SOCIAL SCIENCES
Economics
Macroeconomics
Abstract
Ovaj diplomski rad donosi analizu utjecaja državne potrošnje kao jednog od instrumenata fiskalne politike i neizvjesnosti na kretanje BDP-a u Republici Hrvatskoj u razdoblju od 2003. do 2019. Promatrano razdoblje obilježeno je s nekoliko događaja koji pridonose indeksu neizvjesnosti (poplava u Gunji 2014., parlamentarni izbori 2015. i 2016. te kriza u Agrokoru te neki vanjski događaji kao financijska kriza 2007. i napad na Charlie Hebdo). Metodološki okvir temelji se na Blanchard i Perottijevom SVAR modelu (2002) koji je pogodan za tumačenje fiskalnih modela i neizvjesnosti. Rezultati istraživanja pokazuju kako je u Republici Hrvatskoj državna potrošnja imala pozitivan utjecaj na kretanje BDP-a, ali je taj utjecaj bio signifikantan samo u prvom kvartalu. Nadalje, neizvjesnost je u promatranome razdoblju imala negativan utjecaj, čija signifikantnost ovisi o modelu gospodarstva.U modelu zatvorenog gospodarstva neizvjesnost nema signifikantan utjecaj, ali u modelu otvorenog gospodarstva, kakvo je gospodarstvo Republike Hrvatske, ima signifikantan utjecaj u prvom kvartalu.
Abstract (english)
This thesis presents an analysis of the impact of government spending as an instrument of fiscal policy and uncertainty on the Croatian GDP trends in the period from 2003 to 2019. The observed period was marked with several events that contributed to the index of uncertainty(Gunja floods in 2014, parliamentary elections in 2015 and 2016, the crisis in Agrokor as well as some international events such as the financial crisis of 2007 and the attack on Charlie Hebdo). The methodological framework used in the thesis is based on the SVAR model created by Blanchard and Perotti (2002), which is suitable for interpretation of fiscal models and uncertainty. The research results show that government spending in Croatia in the observed period had a positive impact on the GDP trends, but this impact was statistically significant only in the first quarter. Further, uncertainty had a negative impact, but its statistical significance depends on the model of economy. In the model of closed economy uncertainty does not have a significant impact but in the model of open economy, which closely reflects Croatian economy, its impact is significant in the first quarter. uncertainty, government spending, Croatia, GDP, SVAR model
Keywords
Keywords (english)
Languagecroatian
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:148:300223
Study programmeTitle: Economics
Study programme type: university
Study level: integrated undergraduate and graduate
Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra ekonomije (magistar/magistra ekonomije)
Type of resourceText
File originBorn digital
Access conditionsOpen access
Terms of useLicence Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0) icon
Created on2021-09-27 10:41:37