prikaz prve stranice dokumenta Analiza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta
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master's thesis
Analiza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta
Zagreb: University of Zagreb, The Faculty of Political Science, 2018. urn:nbn:hr:114:329746
Mandić, Pavla
University of Zagreb
The Faculty of Political Science
Department of Croatian Politics

Institutional repository: FPSZG repository

Cite this document

Mandić, P. (2018). Analiza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta (Master's thesis). Zagreb: University of Zagreb, The Faculty of Political Science. Retrieved from https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:114:329746

Mandić, Pavla. "Analiza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta." Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, The Faculty of Political Science, 2018. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:114:329746

Mandić, Pavla. "Analiza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta." Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, The Faculty of Political Science, 2018. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:114:329746

Mandić, P. (2018). 'Analiza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta', Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, The Faculty of Political Science, accessed 06 October 2024, https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:114:329746

Mandić P. Analiza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta [Master's thesis]. Zagreb: University of Zagreb, The Faculty of Political Science; 2018 [cited 2024 October 06] Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:114:329746

P. Mandić, "Analiza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta", Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, The Faculty of Political Science, Zagreb, 2018. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:114:329746

Metadata
TitleAnaliza uspjeha neovisnih aktera na lokalnim izborima kao prediktora uspjeha Mosta
Title (english)An Analysis of Independent Actors at Local elections as a Predictor of the Success of the Most of independent Lists
AuthorPavla Mandić
MentorVišeslav Raos (mentor)
GranterUniversity of Zagreb
The Faculty of Political Science
(Department of Croatian Politics)
Zagreb
Defense date and country2018-09-27, Croatia
Scientific / art field,
discipline and subdiscipline		SOCIAL SCIENCES
Political Science
Croatian Policy/Policy of the European Union
Abstract
Rad analizira lokalnu i nacionalnu razinu izbora u Hrvatskoj te se pokušava se odgovoriti na pitanje: je li se mogao predvidjeti uspjeh stranke Mosta nezavisnih lista na parlamentarnim izborima 2015. godine? Ti parlamentarni izbori su bili izbori na kojima je Most prvi put sudjelovao kao politička opcija, ali ujedno su to bili i prvi izbori na kojima su obe, do tada dominantne stranke, bile u pat-poziciji. Most je s osvojenih 19 mandata postao važan politički akter te nužan faktor za sastavljanje vlade. Rad je analiza mogućih prediktora uspjeha stranke Most na izborima 2015. godine. Naklonost birača neovisnim listama na lokalnim izborima održanim 2013. i biračka dob se sagledavaju kao potencijalni pokazatelji ovakvog ishoda parlamentarnih izbora. Provedena je linearna regresijska analiza koja pokušava otkriti povezanost između ova dva elementa te uspjeha Mosta na nacionalnoj političkoj sceni. Rezultati pokazuju da, iako postoji određena povezanost između prediktora i ishoda, ovakav politički fenomen zahtijeva puno složeniju analizu, budući da su predloženi prediktori objasnili tek djelić varijance postotka glasova za Most na izborima 2015. godine.
Abstract (english)
This thesis is an analysis of both the local and national electoral levels in Croatia. It tries to answer the following question: Could we predict the success of the Bridge of Independent Lists at the 2015 parliamentary election? This parliamentary election was the first one at which Most took part, but it was also the first election where the two dominant parties ended in a stalemate position. The Bridge, which won 19 seats, became a very significant political actor and a necessary element for government formation. The thesis analyses possible predictors of success of the Bridge of Independent Lists. Voters that gave their votes to independents lists at the 2013 local election and voter age are considered as potential indicators of the results of the 2015 parliamentary election. A linear regression analysis tried to discover the connection between these predictors and the outcome. The results show that this political phenomenon requires a more complex analysis, as the suggested predictors explained only a fraction of the variance of the vote percentage for the Bridge at the 2015 election
Keywords
Keywords (english)
Languagecroatian
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:114:329746
Study programmeTitle: Political Science
Study programme type: university
Study level: graduate
Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra politologije (magistar/magistra politologije)
Type of resourceText
File originBorn digital
Access conditionsAccess restricted to students and staff of home institution
Terms of useLicence In copyright icon
Created on2018-11-29 10:16:00