prikaz prve stranice dokumenta Usporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save
  Download
PDF 2.07 MB
master's thesis
Usporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save
Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering, 2024. urn:nbn:hr:237:007294
Ruk, Mihael
University of Zagreb
Faculty of Civil Engineering

Institutional repository: Repository of the Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Zagreb

Cite this document

Ruk, M. (2024). Usporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save (Master's thesis). Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering. Retrieved from https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:237:007294

Ruk, Mihael. "Usporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save." Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering, 2024. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:237:007294

Ruk, Mihael. "Usporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save." Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering, 2024. https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:237:007294

Ruk, M. (2024). 'Usporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save', Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering, accessed 18 December 2024, https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:237:007294

Ruk M. Usporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save [Master's thesis]. Zagreb: University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering; 2024 [cited 2024 December 18] Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:237:007294

M. Ruk, "Usporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save", Master's thesis, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Zagreb, 2024. Available at: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:237:007294

Metadata
TitleUsporedba metoda definiranja vremenskog niza za proračun vjerojatnosti pojave velike vode na odabranim hidrološkim postajama na slivu Save
Title (english)Comparison of time series formation methods for flood frequency analysis on the selected gauging stations on the Sava River Basin
AuthorMihael Ruk
MentorKristina Potočki (mentor)
MentorNikola Adžaga (komentor)
Committee memberGoran Lončar (predsjednik povjerenstva)
Committee memberKristina Potočki (član povjerenstva)
Committee memberNikola Adžaga (član povjerenstva)
GranterUniversity of Zagreb
Faculty of Civil Engineering
Zagreb
Defense date and country2024-09-26, Croatia
Scientific / art field,
discipline and subdiscipline		TECHNICAL SCIENCES
Civil Engineering
Abstract
Cilj ovog rada je usporedba dviju metoda formiranja niza za prognoziranje velikih voda za određeno razdoblje. Metode koje su korištene, su metoda godišnjih maksimuma (engl. annual maximum, AM) i metoda prekoračenja (engl. peaks over treshold, POT). Prognoze velikih voda napravljene su za povratne periode od 5, 10, 25, 50, 100 i 1000 godina, na temelju podataka o protocima dobivenih iz mjerenja na vodomjernim postajama Zagreb i Kupljenovo koje se nalaze na dijelu sliva Save u Hrvatskoj. Dobiveni rezultati prikazuju razlike u dobivenim vrijednostima za povratne periode gdje je POT pokazala veće prognozirane protoke. Metoda godišnjih maksimuma (AM) pruža jednostavnu i direktnu analizu koja je zbog toga široko rasprostranjena u inženjerskoj praksi. Ipak, može zanemariti ekstremne događaje koji se ne javljaju svake godine. S druge strane, metoda prekoračenja praga (POT) uzima u obzir sve protoke iznad određenog praga, pružajući detaljniji uvid u ekstremne događaje, ali zahtijeva složeniju analizu i pažljiviji izbor praga.
Abstract (english)
The aim of this paper is to compare two methods for forming a series used in forecasting high water levels for a specific period. The methods employed are the Annual Maximum (AM) method and the Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method. High water forecasts were made for return periods of 5, 10, 25, 50, 100, and 1000 years, based on flow data obtained from measurements at the Zagreb and Kupljenovo gauging stations, located in the Sava River basin in Croatia. The results show differences in the predicted values for the return periods, with the POT method showing higher forecasted flows. The Annual Maximum (AM) method provides a simple and straightforward analysis, which is why it is widely used in engineering practice. However, it can overlook extreme values that do not occur every year. On the other hand, the Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method considers all flows above a certain threshold, offering a more detailed insight into extreme values, but it requires more complex analysis and a more careful selection of the threshold.
Keywords
Keywords (english)
Languagecroatian
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:237:007294
Study programmeTitle: Civil Engineering; specializations in: Construction Management, Transportation Engineering, Geotechnical Engineering, Hydraulic Engineering, Structural Engineering, Construction Materials, Theory and Modeling of Structures
Course: Construction Management
Study programme type: university
Study level: graduate
Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra inženjer/inženjerka građevinarstva (magistar/magistra inženjer/inženjerka građevinarstva)
Type of resourceText
File originBorn digital
Access conditionsOpen access
Terms of useLicence In copyright icon
Created on2024-10-07 11:17:33