Title Analiza rizika i pristupi upravljanju rizicima na projektu
Title (english) Risk analysis and approaches to project risk management
Author Ivana Radić
Mentor Sabina Lacmanović (mentor)
Committee member Sanja Blažević Burić (predsjednik povjerenstva)
Committee member Sabina Lacmanović (član povjerenstva)
Committee member Lela Tijanić (član povjerenstva)
Granter University of Pula (Faculty of economics and tourism "Dr. Mijo Mirković") Pula
Defense date and country 2023-06-09, Croatia
Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline SOCIAL SCIENCES Economics Organization and Management
Abstract Rizik se odnosi na vjerojatnost da se štetni događaj dogodi tijekom životnog ciklusa projekta. Upravljanje rizikom praksa je rješavanja rizika. Ona obuhvaća planiranje upravljanja rizicima, identificiranje rizika, analizu rizika, planiranje odgovora na rizike te nadzor i kontrolu rizika. Analiza rizika predstavlja temelj upravljanja rizikom te je vrlo važna za razumijevanje najneizvjesnijih rizika nekog projekta. To je zapravo sustavni postupak za procjenu razine rizika za identificirane i odobrene rizike, a uključuje procjenu vjerojatnosti nastanka i posljedica pojave te pretvaranje rezultata u odgovarajuću razinu rizika. Osim pojedinačnih rizičnih događaja, potrebno je analizirati i razinu ukupnog projektnog rizika. Na koji će se način izvršiti analiza rizika ovisi o vrijednostima rizičnog događaja, odnosno mogu li se te vrijednosti opisati deskriptivno ili numerički. Shodno tome analizu rizika moguće je podijeliti na numeričku i deskriptivnu metodu, odnosno na kvantitativnu i kvalitativnu metodu. Kvalitativnom analizom rizika definiraju se prioriteti rizika i uvjeti za njihovo nastajanje analizom vjerojatnosti njihove pojave i utjecaja. Kvantitativna analiza rizika je numerička analiza utjecaja prepoznatih rizika na projektne ciljeve. Najčešći pristup upravljanju rizicima projekta je upravljanje pojedinačnim rizicima koji su zabilježeni i procijenjeni u registru projektnih rizika. Osim tog pristupa postoje i alternativni pristupi, a to su višefazni proces odozgo prema dolje, kvantitativno predviđanje na temelju rizika te registar rizika. Svaki od ovih pristupa ima određene prednosti u različitim fazama projekta te se zbog toga najbolji rezultati mogu postići njihovom kombinacijom. Na temelju analize dva opisana velika građevinska projekta došli smo do zaključka da je bez obzira na prethodno iskustvo potrebno detaljno analizirati i kontinuirano pratiti rizike na projektu. Također, zaključujemo da prikladne osobine projektnog menadžera, primjena dobrih projektnih praksi te otvorena komunikacija predstavljaju temelj za uspješno analiziranje i pristupanje upravljanju rizicima na projektu.
Abstract (english) Risk refers to the probability that an adverse event will occur during the life cycle of the project. Risk management is the practice of dealing with risk. It includes risk management planning, risk identification, risk analysis, risk response planning and risk monitoring and control. Risk analysis is the basis of risk management and is very important for understanding the most uncertain risks of a project. It is actually a systematic procedure for assessing the level of risk for identified and approved risks, and it includes the assessment of the probability of occurrence and the consequences of occurrence and converting the results into an appropriate level of risk. In addition to individual risk events, it is necessary to analyze the level of overall project risk. How the risk analysis will be performed depends on the values of the risk event, i.e. whether these values can be described descriptively or numerically. Accordingly, risk analysis can be divided into numerical and descriptive methods, that is, into quantitative and qualitative methods. Qualitative risk analysis defines risk priorities and the conditions for their occurrence by analyzing the probability of their occurrence and impact. Quantitative risk analysis is a numerical analysis of the impact of recognized risks on project objectives. The most common approach to project risk management is the management of individual risks that are recorded and assessed in the project risk register. In addition to this approach, there are also alternative approaches, namely a multi-phase top-down process, quantitative risk-based forecasting, and a risk register. Each of these approaches has certain advantages in different phases of the project, and therefore the best results can be achieved by combining them. Based on the analysis of the two described large construction projects, we came to the conclusion that, regardless of previous experience, it is necessary to analyze in detail and continuously monitor the risks on the project. We also conclude that the appropriate qualities of a project manager, the application of good project practices and open communication represent the basis for successful analysis and approach to project risk management.
Keywords
projektni rizik
vrste rizika
izvori projektnih rizika
rizik i nesigurnost
proces upravljanja projektnim rizicima
iniciranje
identificiranje
analiza
kvalitativna analiza rizika
kvantitativna analiza rizika
planiranje odgovora
implementiranje odgovora
upravljanje procesom
pristupi upravljanju rizicima na projektu
Keywords (english)
project risk
types of risks
sources of project risks
risk and uncertainty
project risk management process
initiation
identification
analysis
qualitative risk analysis
quantitative risk analysis
response planning
response implementation
process management
approaches to project risk management
Language croatian
URN:NBN urn:nbn:hr:137:701631
Study programme Title: Business Economics; Financial Management, Marketing Management, Management and Entrepreneurship,Tourism, Business Informatics; specializations in: Financial Management, Marketing Management, Management and Entrepreneurship, Tourism and Development, Business Informatics, Informatics Management Course: Management and Entrepreneurship Study programme type: university Study level: graduate Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra poslovne ekonomije (magistar/magistra poslovne ekonomije)
Type of resource Text
File origin Born digital
Access conditions Open access
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Created on 2023-06-20 19:02:05