Abstract | Predmet istraživanja su geostrateške značajke Jadrana kao esencijalni dio sintagme “Jadran – poveznica među kontinentima”. Jadran je prostor u kojemu se preklapaju različiti politički i ekonomski interesi. Geografske osnove i interakcija različitih društveno-gospodarskih procesa (migracije, političko-geografske promjene, društvena i gospodarska tranzicija, litoralizacija i dr.) u jadranskom prostoru ključni su pri vojno-strateškom planiranju. Istraživanje je provedeno kroz nekoliko područja, a to su: povijesna uloga Jadrana te prirodno-geografski i društveno-gospodarski potencijali u funkciji vojnostrateškog planiranja kao i sinergijski utjecaj istih na vojnu i nacionalnu moć. Posebno su razmatrana demografska kretanja Jadranske Hrvatske s osvrtom na migracije, uključujući migracijske krize. U kontekstu vojnostrateških analiza uzeta je u obzir činjenica da je Jadran usko more zbog čega provedba vojnih i drugih sigurnosnih operacija treba biti prilagođena litoralnom prostoru. Također su razmotrene ekološke ugroze Jadrana s modelom eko zaštite na vojnom poligonu Rt Kamenjak za vrijeme provedbe vojnih vježbi. Posebno područje istraživanja se odnosi na suvremene geopolitičke i geostrateške značajke Jadrana kroz analizu međuovisnosti Jadrana sa središnjim i jugoistočnim europskim prostorom te Sredozemljem. Svrha istraživanja je pridonijeti određivanju geostrateških značajki Jadrana koje se, uz ostalo, temelje na vojno-strateškom aspektu vrednovanja prirodnih i društvenih resursa Jadranske Hrvatske. U tom smislu istraživanjem je utvrđeno da specifičnosti dodirnoga obalno-otočno-morskog prostora ukazuju na posebnost planiranja i provedbe vojnih operacija u litoralnom krškom prostoru. S istim su ciljem prikazani gospodarski potencijali i mogućnosti održivog razvitka te suvremene ekološke ugroze u kontekstu vojno-strateškog planiranja. Posebno su istaknute suvremene geostrateške značajke Jadranske Hrvatske u kontekstu Sredozemlja te srednje i jugoistočne Europe. Prilikom izrade doktorskog rada korišteno je više metoda znanstveno-istraživačkog rada: metoda modeliranja, povijesna metoda te metoda analize i sinteze. Analizom geografskih osnova određeni su okviri vojno-strateškog planiranja, a posebno u kontekstu značaja hrvatskoga dijela Jadrana kao strateški važnoga prostora i resursa na kojemu se temelji značajan dio domovinske sigurnosti. Primijenjen je interdisciplinarni pristup, ponajprije vezan uz geografiju, (vojno) pomorsku geografiju, vojnu strategiju, oceanografiju, povijest, ekonomiju, pravo i politologiju, kako bi se dobila što cjelovitija slika geostrateškog značaja hrvatskog dijela Jadrana. Iz okvirno određene svrhe istraživanja, sagledavanja i definiranja suvremenih geostrateških značajki Jadranske Hrvatske, proizlaze i pojedinačni ciljevi rada definirani po pojedinim poglavljima rada. Međutim, opći cilj rada je sagledavanje i definiranje suvremenih geostrateških obilježja hrvatskog dijela Jadrana kroz povijesnu prizmu te suvremene globalne i regionalne geopolitičke odnose. S obzirom na povijesna iskustva, Hrvatska treba održavati i razvijati vlastiti sigurnosno-obrambeni sustav i oružane snage primjerene svojim nepovoljnim geostrateškim i fizičko-geografskim značajkama. Da bi to mogla, strategija obrane mora uzeti u obzir sve geografske realitete prostora ali i njezina okružja te u skladu s njima strukturirati i opremiti oružane snage i prilagoditi ih zahtjevima ratišta. Suvremena geostrateška obilježja hrvatskoga jadranskog prostora, potencijalno najvažnijeg multiplikatora nacionalne moći, zahtjeva permanentnu analizu fizionomije modernih ugroza, pomorske moći, mogućnosti zaštite interesa i u konačnici njihov utjecaj na nacionalnu sigurnost. U doktoratu je dana sinteza suvremenih geostrateških obilježja hrvatskog dijela Jadrana s argumentiranom potvrdom hipoteze o geostrateškoj važnosti jadranskog prostora za hrvatsku državu. Analizom geografskih značajki i političko-geografskih odnosa oblikovan je okvir i podloga za daljnja vojno-strateška razmatranja. Ukazano je na važnost očuvanja potencijala i ograničenja jadranskog prostora i dan poticaj za daljnje istraživanje i otvaranje novih istraživačkih problema. |
Abstract (english) | Subject of this research are the geostrategic features of the Adriatic Sea as an essential part of the syntagm "Adriatic Sea – a link between the continents". The Adriatic Sea is an area where different political and economic interests overlap. Geographic basis and interaction of different socio-economic processes (migrations, political-geographical changes, social and economic transition, littoralization etc.) in the Adriatic region have a key importance in the military and strategic planning. The research has been conducted through several areas, namely: the historical role of the Adriatic Sea and the natural-geographic and socio-economic potentials in the function of military-scale planning as well as their synergistic influence on military and national power. The demographic trends of the Adriatic Croatia were particularly discussed in reference to migrations including the migration crisis. In the context of military analysis, it has to be taken into account that the Adriatic Sea is very narrow and therefore the execution of military and other security operations should be adapted to the littoral space. Furthermore, ecological threats of the Adriatic Sea were analyzed in regard to the eco-protection model at the military training area Rt Kamenjak during military exercises. A special area of the research refers to contemporary geopolitical and geostrategic features of the Adriatic Sea through the analysis of the interdependence of the Adriatic Sea with the central and southeastern European area and the Mediterranean. The purpose of this research is to determine the geostrategic features of the Adriatic Sea, which are, among other things, based on the military-strategic aspect of evaluating natural and social resources of the Adriatic Croatia. In this respect, the research has shown that the distinctive features of the tangent coastal-island-sea area affect planning and implementation of military operations in the littoral karst area. Following the same idea, economic potentials and opportunities for sustainable development and the contemporary ecological threats are presented in the context of military-strategic planning. Present geostrategic features of the Adriatic Croatia are highlighted in the context of the Mediterranean and Central and South-Eastern Europe. During the doctoral thesis work several methods of scientific research were used - methods of modeling, historical methods and methods of analysis and synthesis. Analyzing the geographical basis, frameworks of military-strategic planning have been defined, especially in the context of the importance of the Croatian part of the Adriatic Sea as a strategically important area and resource on which a significant part of the national security is based. An interdisciplinary approach was applied, primarily related to geography, (military) maritime geography, military strategy, oceanography, history, economics, law and political science in order to gain a more complete picture of the geostrategic significance of the Croatian part of the Adriatic Sea. Individual objectives are derived from the main purpose of research, namely the observation and determination of the contemporary geostrategic features of the Adriatic Croatia. Those objectives are inspected more closely in individual chapters of this paper. However, the general aim is to overview and define the contemporary geostrategic features of the Croatian part of the Adriatic Sea through the historical framework and contemporary global and regional geopolitical relations. Taking into account the historical background, Croatia has to maintain and develop its own security and defense system and a type of Armed Forces, which can respond to its unfavorable geostrategic and physical-geographical features. Therefore, defense strategy has to take into account all geographical features of the region as well as its surroundings and structure and equip its Armed Forces in accordance with them, and this way adapting to the requirements of the Theatre of War. Current geostrategic features of the Croatian part of the Adriatic Sea as a potentially most important multiplier of national power requires a permanent analysis of the countenance of modern threats, marine power, capabilities to protect interests and finally their influence on national security. The thesis provides a synthesis of temporary geostrategic features of the Croatian part of the Adriatic Sea with argumentative confirmation of the hypothesis about the geostrategic importance of the Adriatic region for the Croatian state. With the analysis of the geographical features and political-geographical relations, a frame and foundation has been shaped for further military-strategic considerations. The thesis indicates the importance of preservation of potentials and restrictions of the Adriatic region and fosters research and detection of new research problems. |