prikaz prve stranice dokumenta Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020
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Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020
Rudarsko-geološko-naftni zbornik, 36 (2021), 4; 177-189. https://doi.org/10.17794/rgn.2021.4.14
Šamarinec, Domagoj; Karasalihović Sedlar, Daria; Smajla, Ivan; Jukić, Lucija

Institucijski repozitorij: Repozitorij Rudarsko-geološko-naftnog fakulteta Sveučilišta u Zagrebu

Citirajte ovaj rad

Šamarinec, D., Karasalihović Sedlar, D., Smajla, I. i Jukić, L. (2021). Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020. Rudarsko-geološko-naftni zbornik, 36. (4), 177-189. doi: 10.17794/rgn.2021.4.14

Šamarinec, Domagoj, et al. "Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020." Rudarsko-geološko-naftni zbornik, vol. 36, br. 4, 2021, str. 177-189. https://doi.org/10.17794/rgn.2021.4.14

Šamarinec, Domagoj, Daria Karasalihović Sedlar, Ivan Smajla i Lucija Jukić. "Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020." Rudarsko-geološko-naftni zbornik 36, br. 4 (2021): 177-189. https://doi.org/10.17794/rgn.2021.4.14

Šamarinec, D., et al. (2021) 'Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020', Rudarsko-geološko-naftni zbornik, 36(4), str. 177-189. doi: 10.17794/rgn.2021.4.14

Šamarinec D, Karasalihović Sedlar D, Smajla I, Jukić L. Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020. Rudarsko-geološko-naftni zbornik [Internet]. 2021. [pristupljeno 26.11.2024.];36(4):177-189. doi: 10.17794/rgn.2021.4.14

D. Šamarinec, D. Karasalihović Sedlar, I. Smajla i L. Jukić, "Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020", Rudarsko-geološko-naftni zbornik, vol. 36, br. 4, str. 177-189, 2021. [Online]. Dostupno na: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:169:314219. [Citirano: 26.11.2024.]

Za citiranje koristite ovu mrežnu adresu: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:169:314219
Podaci o radu
Naslov (engleski)Comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas market trends for the period from 1997 to 2020
AutorDomagoj Šamarinec
AutorDaria Karasalihović Sedlar
AutorIvan Smajla
AutorLucija Jukić
Autorova ustanovaSveučilište u Zagrebu
Rudarsko-geološko-naftni fakultet
(Zavod za naftno-plinsko inženjerstvo i energetiku)
Znanstveno / umjetničko
područje, polje i grana		TEHNIČKE ZNANOSTI
Rudarstvo, nafta i geološko inženjerstvo
Sažetak (engleski)
An accurate prediction of energy indicators is critical for orientation in the energy market, and it could give direction for policymakers and market participants. The aim of this research was to examine the accuracy of projections of natural gas market indicators. This paper presents a comparative analysis of historic predictions and actual global natural gas movements in several segments, namely production, consumption, and regional import dependence, as well as forecasted and actual price movements. The goal of this paper is to compare projected and actual natural gas market indicators. Predictions of market movements 20 years into the future are very useful, but they do have certain limitations. Those limitations especially apply to goods whose prices are regional and linked to price movements of another good, as is the case with natural gas. External influences have a direct impact on production and consumption, and it is rather clear that changes in one of the fundamental factors entails and magnifies the error of further predictions. Despite that, predictions of global production and consumption have proven to be very accurate. Based on the research results, it could be emphasized that for strategical planning and policy-making purposes, the predictions of natural gas production, consumption, or even import independence could be considered with great certainty, while price assumptions in the case of natural gas have shown significant mismatching, therefore, should be very carefully perceived.
Ključne riječi (engleski)
Jezikengleski
Vrsta publikacijeZnanstveni rad - Izvorni znanstveni rad
Status objaveObjavljen
Vrsta recenzijeRecenziran - međunarodna recenzija
Verzija publikacijeObjavljena verzija rada (izdavačev PDF)
Naslov časopisaRudarsko-geološko-naftni zbornik
Brojčani podacivol. 36, br. 4, str. 177-189
e-ISSN1849-0409
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.17794/rgn.2021.4.14
URN:NBNurn:nbn:hr:169:314219
Datum objave publikacije2021
URL dokumentahttps://hrcak.srce.hr/index.php?show=clanak&id_clanak_jezik=382132&lang=en
Vrsta resursaTekst
Prava pristupaOtvoreni pristup
Uvjeti korištenjaIkona licence Imenovanje 4.0 međunarodna (CC BY 4.0)
Datum i vrijeme pohrane2022-02-25 09:17:13